Recommendation: Set up real-time alerts for year-to-date demand moves that affect skus; the first step is a lightweight model that drives fast decisions: compare current trends to the last period, run rapid effort tests, and deploy fewer changes with higher impact. This could significantly reduce stockouts and excess while improving cash flow.
Barclays notes that a disciplined strategy that simplifier inventories across the top skus tends to lift margins; executives report headcount savings and better year-to-date performance. Since the data show a move across skus, prioritization reduces third-party touches, that lowers cost and improves on-time delivery significantly.
Cadence opérationnelle : embed a weekly strategy review with a model that compares year-to-date results to plan; track sales, headcount, and inventory turnover; aim for a 20% reduction in manual effort by simplifier processes since fewer touches yield better accuracy. The arnal cadence ensures decision-makers align across departments and that benefits accrue year-to-date.
Why it matters for executives: the move to proactive planning illuminates sales trends and skus, with fewer bottlenecks, delivering a clear benefit that could drive stronger year-to-date performance than peers. This approach is supported by Barclays and can be replicated across teams to accelerate results.
Second step Prognosis
Start by deploying a compact inventory optimization model anchored to unit cost, service level, and SKU characteristics. Link each skus to a defined cost and margin, set safety stock by demand volatility, and implement a weekly adjustment loop to capture shifting demand. This approach would trim carrying costs, boost savings, and align manufacturing and purchasing with the sales plan. barclays notes this is feasible with the right data; gustavo and arnal confirm the operational practicality.
From a cost perspective, the plan drives a 6–12% reduction in average inventory value within the first three months and a 2–5% lift in gross margin as stockouts on high-velocity items decline and turns improve. Since data flows are clean, headcount can shift from routine replenishment toward exception handling, freeing effort for higher-value tasks and accelerating benefit realization for sold SKUs.
Move from pilot to scale in three sprints: starting with the top 50 SKUs by sales, then expanding to the full catalog. The cadence ties production scheduling to demand signals, simplifying the planning cycle and increasing the rate of savings realization. This shift would minimize disruptive changes and maintain focus on manufacturing alignment and cost control.
To sustain momentum, set a monthly review comparing forecast accuracy, sales performance, and cost per unit. barclays benchmarking supports external validation of the model, while feedback from gustavo and arnal helps tune inventory levels, SKUs, and manufacturing capacity, ensuring ongoing benefits align with strategic goals and capital allocation.
Forecast upcoming headlines: identify top disruption indicators
Recommendation: Build a live risk dashboard for executives focusing on inventory levels, production throughput, and sales momentum. Starting with a 12-week forecast window, trigger alerts when year-to-date demand deviates by more than 15% from plan. This approach reduces risk, simplifies prioritization, and protects margin.
Identify top disruption indicators: vendor lead time drift, bottlenecks in manufacturing lines, and volatility in orders. Since these signals move together, run a simple model that tests a base case, a 20% uptick in demand, and a 10% delay from a vendor. In such scenarios, the company could reallocate capacity, reroute orders, and avoid costly last-minute changes, delivering measurable savings and improved service levels.
Strategic actions: Tie each indicator to specific moves: reduce inventory by smaller batch sizes with more frequent replenishment, simplify changeovers, and move capacity where it creates the largest benefit. The first responses should be within 24 hours; the full plan within one week; executives should review progress weekly to keep the third-party network aligned.
Cost and benefit signals: year-to-date data show cost pressures rising, but targeted interventions can drive savings significantly. For example, adjusting the model to reflect currency swings and transport costs can cut total cost by 5-12% and lift operating margin, with the last quarter demonstrating a meaningful improvement when headcount remained stable and automation gained share. In trials, this approach delivered improvements more than 5% above prior forecasts.
Market validation: Barclays research indicates that a flexible network and proactive planning reduce cycle time and improve on-time delivery. In interviews, arnal noted that starting from a simple model and expanding to cover multiple vendors yields a clear path to benefit. As one executive said, this would deliver stronger year-to-date results and wider savings.
Avon reduced inventory by 43M in a push for simplicity – is it enough
Recommendation: Extend skus rationalization and align the fulfillment model with a lean, demand-driven plan starting now. Build on the 43M inventory reduction by targeting core products, tightening replenishment, and reallocating headcount to analytics and procurement.
- Focus on core skus: reduce to top 40–60 skus that drive the majority of year-to-date sales; which lowers carrying cost, improves forecast accuracy, and reduces obsolescence risk.
- Operational efficiency: streamline manufacturing and fulfillment, cut changeover time, and renegotiate supplier terms to lock in cost reductions; fewer skus simplify planning and can lift gross margin.
- Inventory and cash flow: liquidate slow-moving items and accelerate selling of remaining stock; year-to-date savings will compound as turns improve and aging stock declines.
- Governance and measurement: assign executives to oversee skus governance and model alignment; barclays gustavo notes that the trend is sensible but requires tighter milestones; track skus margin and year-to-date inventory turns.
- People and capability: arnal, head of product logistics, stresses the need for a continued effort rather than a one-off cut; starting next quarter, shift headcount toward analytics, demand planning, and replenishment to sustain lower inventory levels.
In short, the intervention is a useful first step, but sustained impact depends on tighter skus discipline, faster liquidation, and a model that scales with demand signals.
Is a 43M inventory cut enough to streamline operations without harming service levels?

Recommendation: Yes, this amount can help executives pursue a targeted strategy that would simplify the portfolio and could drive cost savings while preserving service for the top skus. The first step should be a precise mix of rationalization and replenishment discipline; that would deliver measurable benefit and avoid unnecessary friction.
Since year-to-date volatility in demand is high, the plan should avoid a complex governance layer that slows decisions. If you move to fewer, better-aligned skus, the effort would be simpler and cost-efficient, and it would still protect sales for core customers. The arnal planning module could support this, and gustavo said the approach aligns with the company strategy for manufacturing and distribution. That alignment keeps the cost profile tight while maintaining flow and visibility across the network.
Key levers include SKU pruning, enhanced forecast accuracy, and a pull-based move in manufacturing for fast-turn items. That would reduce last mile variability and simplify operations; in practice, this last mile focus helps the company maintain service levels while achieving savings that significantly boost benefit for the bottom line. The approach also helps accelerate the return on the 43M investment and would drive further savings as performance improves over year-to-date benchmarks.
Barclays benchmark and third-party data indicate a staged rollout yields the best outcomes. gustavo said the plan could help sales while preserving service; the move drives stronger capital efficiency by lowering carrying costs and letting the company sell or reallocate sold stock.
| Zone | Changer | Service Impact | Impact financier | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inventory portfolio | -$43M year-to-date | Fill rate remains near target for top 200 skus (98.5-99.2%) | Cost savings: $43M; carrying cost down ~0.8pp | Prioritize critical items; reallocate safety stock; sold or reallocate low-turn skus |
| SKU assortment | Fewer skus by 12-15% | Minor risk of stockouts for niche lines; mitigated by dynamic replenishment | Turn improved; obsolescence reduced | Use arnal planning module; sku pruning |
| Forecasting & replenishment | Précision en hausse de 5-8% année à ce jour | Les niveaux de service se sont stabilisés ; corrections plus rapides. | Stocks de sécurité réduits, meilleur flux de trésorerie | Adopter des signaux de demande améliorés ; examen interfonctionnel |
| Fabrication et déménagement | Orientez-vous vers une production axée sur la demande pour les articles à haute vélocité. | WIP plus court ; moins d'étroits goulots d'étranglement de capacité | Améliorations de l'utilisation de la main-d'œuvre et des machines | gustavo-led pilot; monitor metrics |
| Partenaires externes | Intégration progressive; moins de relations, plus fortes. | Prise en charge des éléments supérieurs ; service maintenu. | Frais de fonctionnement moindres ; meilleure conformité aux accords de niveau de service. | barclays benchmark ; examen trimestriel |
Lectures recommandées : sélectionnez des sources et appliquez les idées clés
Commencez par les informations Barclays de l'année à ce jour et les notes de cas de Gustavo pour identifier les points chauds des stocks et les opportunités d'économies. Ces signaux, selon les analystes, montrent quelles références SKU restent longtemps en stock et quels changements permettraient de simplifier les flux de travail, ce qui génère un avantage mesurable pour les équipes de fabrication et d'exécution.
Pour les sources, choisissez celles qui relient la stratégie à la réalité opérationnelle. Les analyses tierces qui rendent compte de l'empreinte manufacturière, de l'alignement des effectifs et du coût au service offrent les indications les plus claires pour aider les équipes à mettre en œuvre des changements. Étant donné qu'elles mettent en évidence moins de références à fort impact, vous pouvez concentrer votre énergie là où cela compte le plus et éviter les remaniements dans les processus complexes.
starting avec les 10 à 20 meilleurs articles qui génèrent 80 % de la demande, le plan devrait tendre vers une simplification des flux de travail et une réduction des effectifs lorsque l'automatisation remplace les tâches à faible valeur ajoutée. Cette approche pourrait réduire les efforts tout en maintenant l'élan des ventes et en améliorant les niveaux de service.
Recommendations for year-to-date actions: build a 90-day playbook that maps inventory, skus, and vendors; measure savings and inventory turns; ensure the plan could be executed with a single strategy and fewer handoffs. The result: a more resilient network and higher benefit realization, with clear metrics for manufacturing outcomes.
Enfin, compilez un compte rendu concis pour l'équipe de direction, en mettant l'accent sur les points de départ, l'impact potentiel sur les ventes et le delta annuel prévu. Soulignez comment les sources choisies ont déjà démontré comment de petits changements dans la composition des références et les délais de livraison peuvent considérablement augmenter les revenus et réduire la pression sur les effectifs, offrant ainsi un effort tangible à l'échelle de l'entreprise.
Première étape Diagnostic : évaluer la posture actuelle de l’inventaire et les signaux d’alerte précoces.
Commencez par un diagnostic précis de l'état actuel des stocks en extrayant les données de stock disponibles depuis le début de l'année par références, en comparant les prévisions et les résultats réels, et en signalant les références présentant des écarts de service ou des surstocks ; cela établit le premier signal d'action pour l'équipe. Le point de départ est clair : extrayez les données de l'année en cours et cartographiez-les en fonction du taux de rotation pour accélérer les décisions.
Les cadres de Barclays ont déclaré que Gustavo et Arnal avaient souligné une démarche rapide et nécessitant peu d'efforts pour confirmer la qualité des données et s'entendre sur les objectifs de coûts de détention.
D'après les données initiales, identifier les références (skus) qui ont généré des risques : la demande a changé au cours du trimestre dernier, certains articles se sont vendus lentement tandis que d'autres se sont épuisés, créant un désalignement dans l'ensemble du portefeuille.
Ce diagnostic informe une stratégie d'inventaire simple que la fabrication, les achats et les ventes peuvent exécuter ; en évitant une évaluation complexe, concentrez-vous sur un nombre réduit d'articles à fort impact pour réduire la complexité et faciliter les transmissions.
Le coût du manque d'alignement est significatif ; étant donné que l'effort nécessaire pour corriger est modeste, le bénéfice pourrait améliorer considérablement les niveaux de service, libérer des effectifs pour des tâches à plus forte valeur ajoutée et réduire les coûts fixes de l'entreprise.
Un tableau de bord léger est la prochaine étape : il pourrait fournir des signaux d'alerte précoce et aider les dirigeants à surveiller les performances de l'année à ce jour.
Pour conclure, définissez un plan simple de 90 jours : premièrement, désignez un responsable transversal ; deuxièmement, classifiez les SKU en fonction des risques (élevé/moyen/faible) ; troisièmement, mettez en œuvre un système d'alerte léger. Cela renforce la chaîne de valeur.
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