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Surge in Electricity Demand Drives Coal Transport Growth

Surge in Electricity Demand Drives Coal Transport Growth

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ジェームズ・ミラー
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7月 30, 2025

Railroad Performance Boosted by Key Shipments

Essentials to Note:

  • Sustained growth in intermodal, coal, and grain shipments supports Class I railroads as 2025 progresses, with increases of 5%, 6%, and 6%, respectively.
  • Intermodal traffic spikes from consumer goods and e-commerce are particularly boosting western U.S. railways.
  • The grain sector thrives on bolstered U.S. maize exports, even amid reduced shipments to China; market diversification remains crucial.
  • A temporary rise in coal shipments, spurred by local electricity needs and robust Asian exports, propels railway growth, irrespective of the renewable energy shift.

As highlighted by data from the Association of American Railroads, three major commodities are propelling the performance of Class I railroads in 2025: intermodal containers, coal, and grain. This year alone shows intermodal volume rising by 5% in comparison to the same period in 2024, with coal and grain each experiencing a notable 6% rise.

Among the railroads, Union Pacific leads coal transport; in week 28 of 2025, coal shipments surged by 38% compared to the same week last year, translating to an 18% year-to-date growth in coal carloads. Furthermore, CPKC has reported an impressive 11% increase in its intermodal traffic, while Canadian National marks a 17% increase in grain volumes versus 2024.

Intermodal transport, characterized by the seamless movement of containerized cargo across various transport modes, remains a pivotal sector for Class I railroads. Railroads in the Western U.S., particularly Union Pacific and BNSF, are witnessing a striking increase in intermodal volumes—a 9% surge in Union Pacific’s traffic in 2025, thanks to growing demand in the e-commerce landscape, especially through its vital west coast ports catering to Asian markets. BNSF recorded a similar 5% growth, reflecting a revival in retail and manufacturing that relies on intermodal logistics for efficient supply chains.

On the eastern side, CSX and Norfolk Southern are tapping into the intermodal uptrend, although their performance shows variability. CSX has reported a slight uptick in intermodal traffic, attributed to ongoing enhancements in its eastern seaboard network efficiency amidst trucking competition. In contrast, Norfolk Southern has experienced a slight downturn, dealing with competitive challenges and ongoing network optimization efforts aimed at improving service reliability.

Grain Market Dynamics

The grain freight market remains vibrant, significantly bolstered by a spike in U.S. maize exports. While tensions with China have curtailed shipments, exporters have effectively diversified their target markets across Asia, Latin America, and the Mediterranean regions, leading to a remarkable 9% year-over-year increase in global grain shipments. This diversification has proven essential, particularly as the tariffs imposed by China in March 2025 dramatically reduced their share of U.S. grain imports from 26% to just 10%.

Railroads play a critical role in facilitating these grain movements, with carloads surging by 26% as domestic grain transport reflects increased operations. Kansas City Southern, now a part of the Canadian Pacific Kansas City network, along with Canadian National, benefits notably from these shifting trends by aligning their networks to optimize and meet the rising global demand for American grains.

Coal Sector Insights

The coal transportation segment is witnessing significant gains, despite the generally declining trend in the U.S. coal market due to regulatory shifts and evolving energy preferences. A temporary upward trend in 2025 correlates with heightened domestic electricity demands and robust export activity towards Asia, particularly to India and China. Notably, Union Pacific and BNSF have reported considerable spikes in coal shipments as power plants ramp up operations to meet high summer energy demands. In April 2025, power plants across the U.S. received an impressive 28.5 million short tons of coal, marking a rise from 24.4 million tons in the previous year.

Additionally, international markets have provided a robust outlet for U.S. coal exports, achieving their peak in six years, with gross exports reaching 10 million short tons by June. This surge can be attributed to competitive pricing and persistent demand from Asian steel production sectors, benefiting eastern railroads like CSX and Norfolk Southern as they leverage their proximity to export terminals for increased coal traffic.

Dynamic Landscape for Class I Railroads

The Class I railroads are navigating a swiftly changing environment in 2025. Their agility in adapting to fluctuating economic climates, maximizing intermodal capabilities, and adeptly handling traditional sectors like grain and coal has underlined their unexpected performance. The interplay between these factors reflects a multifaceted approach critical to sustaining growth in the logistics sector, especially considering the burgeoning transportation demands across various commodities.

結論

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