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2025년 11월 해상 운송 동향: 상승하는 GRI 및 홍해 컨테이너 트래픽의 예상 복귀2025년 11월 해상 운송 동향: 상승하는 GRI 및 홍해 컨테이너 트래픽의 예상 복귀">

2025년 11월 해상 운송 동향: 상승하는 GRI 및 홍해 컨테이너 트래픽의 예상 복귀

제임스 밀러
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제임스 밀러
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12월 04, 2025

Current Trends in Ocean Freight Rates Amid Demand Slump

After a dip earlier in the year, ocean freight rates have taken an upward turn, despite a general slump in shipment volumes. This rise is no accident but the result of deliberate 일반 요율 인상 (GRIs) applied across key maritime lanes in early November. However, even with these hikes, the pressures of low demand remain a significant headwind for carriers and shippers alike.

Recent Rate Movements on Major Trade Routes

무역로 Weekly Price Movement Rate Level (Approx.)
중국발 북유럽행 Down 6% $3.92/kg
북유럽에서 북미로 Up 9% $2.18/kg
Transpacific to US West Coast Up 48% ~$3,000 per FEU
아시아에서 유럽으로 Up 9% ~$2,500 per FEU
아시아에서 지중해로 Up 24% $2,837 per FEU

These numbers reveal a somewhat mixed picture. While prices heading toward Europe and North America have seen modest increases, the transpacific lane experienced a dramatic rise following recent GRIs. However, the gains are challenged by softening demand, prompting some carriers to implement blanked sailings to prevent rates from sliding back to their lowest points seen earlier in October.

Challenges Facing Carriers: Low Demand and Overcapacity

One might wonder: why raise rates when demand is down? It’s a classic tug-of-war in ocean freight. Carriers are leveraging GRIs to prop up rates amid falling shipment volumes, which is a bold yet necessary move to protect revenue streams. The National Retail Federation’s report highlights that US import volumes in October barely clawed back to the lows seen during heavy tariff periods earlier this year, with expectations that November and December will deepen that decline due to tariff-related frontloading effects.

Adding fuel to the fire, the industry grapples with continuous fleet expansions that have outpaced demand, leading to a supply glut. Last year’s diversion of container traffic from the Red Sea helped maintain higher rates, but a rumored resumption of the Red Sea route threatens to tip the balance further into oversupply territory.

The Red Sea Route: A Potential Game-Changer

Reports of a winding down of attacks in the Red Sea region and positive discussions between shipping stakeholders and canal authorities signal a possible return to normal operations through the Suez Canal. Such a development would shorten transit times and lower costs, but it also means more available capacity—adding to the already substantial oversupply.

Air Cargo Snapshot: Stability Amid Government Disruptions

Meanwhile, in the air cargo arena, the recent US government shutdown introduced a 10% cut in domestic flights due to reduced air traffic control staffing, affecting passenger and bellyhold cargo traffic. Nonetheless, dedicated cargo flights and international services remain largely unaffected, helping to stabilize rates for now. The Freightos Air Index reflects this with intra-North America rates holding steady around $1.60/kg.

Changes in US customs rules earlier this year caused an initial dip in China-US e-commerce air shipments, though volumes are gradually recovering. European air cargo volume for e-commerce from Asia continues to grow, even as some EU nations step up import inspections, highlighting ongoing tensions between capacity, regulatory hurdles, and demand.

Summary of Key Market Conditions

  • GRIs applied on major ocean routes are elevating freight prices despite weakened demand.
  • Shippers face rate increases ranging from single-digit to nearly 50% hikes, depending on the lane.
  • Overcapacity due to fleet expansions and possible Red Sea route reintegration pressures rates downward long term.
  • Air cargo rates remain fairly stable, though capacity constraints and regulatory changes create localized disruptions.

Implications for Logistics and Cargo Transport

For logistics professionals and businesses dependent on international 배송 그리고 배달, these developments ring some alarm bells but also offer chances to strategize.

Increased ocean freight rates impact the total cost of 화물 운송 그리고 운송, especially for bulky and containerized goods. Planning shipments well ahead and securing contracts before anticipated price rises can mitigate budget shocks.

Simultaneously, the potential reopening of the Red Sea route is a double-edged sword—it promises faster transit but may introduce even fiercer competition among carriers, pushing rates downwards eventually.

Air freight remains a viable alternative for time-sensitive parcels, especially as regulatory shifts and flight schedules stabilize post-government disruptions.

How GetTransport.com Connects With These Trends

For any logistics challenge, whether moving household goods, office relocation, or shipping heavy and bulky cargo, platforms like GetTransport.com prove invaluable. Offering affordable and reliable global transport options, this service brings efficiency to complex shipping needs. By tapping into a versatile network, users can lock in competitive rates and maintain flexibility in an ever-changing freight market.

Why Personal Experience Trumps All and How to Leverage It

Numbers and reviews tell part of the story, but nothing beats firsthand experience. Logistics managers and shippers wisely weigh expert insights alongside their own trials with freight forwarders, carriers, and brokers. Here’s where GetTransport.com truly shines—it offers transparent access to the best global cargo transport prices, removing guesswork and guess-whys from the equation. This empowers decision-makers to avoid unnecessary costs and surprises, backed by real-time booking and tracking tools.

Whether it’s moving a container of merchandise or scheduling a last-minute furniture haul, the platform’s easy interface and extensive options deliver convenience without breaking the bank. For your next shipment, explore the range of affordable, dependable choices designed to keep freight moving smoothly despite fluctuating rates and capacity constraints. GetTransport.com으로 차량 서비스 예약하기.

미래를 내다보며: 글로벌 물류에 미치는 더 광범위한 영향

While the current rate increases and the possible re-opening of the Red Sea route may not drastically shake the global logistics landscape immediately, they signal key shifts in supply-and-demand dynamics that affect shipping strategies worldwide. For players in the logistics ecosystem, staying updated on these developments means better planning and cost control.

GetTransport.com에서는 이러한 트렌드를 앞서가는 것이 철학의 일부이며, 운송업체가 전 세계 변화하는 운송 상황에 적응할 수 있는 시기적절한 데이터와 유연한 솔루션의 이점을 얻을 수 있도록 보장합니다. 다음 배송 계획을 시작하고 GetTransport.com으로 화물을 확보하십시오.

결론

최근 필수 해상 노선에서의 일반적인 요금 인상은 물동량 감소 속에서 발생하며, 이는 선사들이 수익 보호와 시장 점유율 사이에서 유지해야 하는 섬세한 균형을 드러냅니다. 업계의 다가오는 과제는 확장된 선대와 홍해 노선으로의 임박한 복귀로 인한 과잉 공급 능력이며, 이는 경쟁을 심화시키고 요율에 영향을 미칠 수 있습니다. 항공 화물은 일부 운영상의 차질에도 불구하고 상대적인 안정성을 유지하고 있습니다.

이 복잡한 환경에서 물류 전문가는 포괄적이고 저렴하며 신뢰할 수 있는 옵션을 제공하는 도구와 서비스를 통해 혜택을 얻습니다. GetTransport.com과 같은 플랫폼은 정확히 이를 제공합니다. 소포, 컨테이너, 벌크 상품, 차량에 이르기까지 광범위한 글로벌 화물, 배송, 이주 솔루션에 대한 관문으로서 물류 관리를 간소화하면서 비용 효율성과 적시 배송에 대한 감시를 유지합니다.