Will February bring a government resolution on reducing coefficients and early retirement for professional drivers?

February carries a concrete deadline: the government is reportedly set to decide whether to recognise reducing coefficients that would allow earlier retirement for professional drivers, a demand jointly pushed by unions CCOO and UGT, backed by employers CETM and supported by Fenadismer.

Background: what the reducing coefficients mean for the road sector

The proposal seeks to formally recognise specific career-long risks and physical burdens faced by drivers, converting those into actuarial coefficients that lower the retirement age for eligible workers. If approved, this would change contribution tables and pension calculations for long-haul truckers and passenger-carriage drivers, creating a legal path for early retirement tied to validated time spent in the profession.

Key stakeholders and their stated positions

Administrative route: data checks, cost estimates, and timing

Insider signals suggest the Ministry of Social Security and Migrations could request a cross-match of employment and contribution records from the Ministries of Labour and Transport to build a robust census of professional drivers. That census would allow officials to generate an economic impact estimate and draft updated contribution tables. The timeline under discussion places a possible clear answer in February, but several officials have indicated a realistic window stretching to May for final legislation or fiscal arrangements.

Timeline scenarios

• Fast-track: February resolution, immediate publication of tables and implementation plan within weeks.
• Phased: Initial recognition in February, detailed cost-sharing and contribution tables by May.
• Delayed: Political negotiations push final decisions beyond spring; symbolic measures announced but no binding tables.

Union readiness, social media noise and the real risk of mobilisations

Trade unions have emphasised their willingness to call for industrial action if the government does not provide a definitive response. Still, past experience shows social media can amplify calls for strikes without guaranteeing turnout. Anecdotally, drivers are vocal online — but actual strike participation has varied by subsector: passenger-carriage drivers historically show higher coordination and solidarity than some freight drivers.

Why turnout may vary

• Different labour relations in passenger vs freight sectors.
• Small owner-operators may hesitate to stop revenue-generating operations.
• Concerns about short-term income loss versus long-term pension gains.

Impacts on logistics, carriers and supply chains

A formal recognition of reducing coefficients would ripple through operational and financial layers of logistics firms. Immediate effects could include higher employer contribution rates, changes in hiring and retirement projections, and short-term capacity gaps where experienced drivers leave earlier than planned. Long-term, it could help workforce renewal and safety by enabling older drivers to retire with dignity, but carriers will need contingency planning.

• Cost pressure: Employers may face increased payroll contributions or redirected budgets to cover higher pension liabilities.
• Workforce planning: Accelerated retirements require recruitment, training and possible use of agency drivers.
• Operational continuity: Shifts in driver availability can affect dispatch, delivery windows, and freight scheduling.

Operational checklist for carriers and logistics managers

• Monitor official updates from the Ministry and unions daily.
• Run payroll modelling to estimate contribution scenarios.
• Plan phased recruitment and upskilling to mitigate sudden retirements.
• Evaluate contractual flexibility with customers regarding delivery windows.
• Communicate with insurers and financiers about changing workforce risk profiles.

Speaking plainly, logistics operators should treat this as a live risk: not a hurricane you can see coming, but a weather front that could change the route of your fleet planning. I’ve heard carriers say they’ll “cross that bridge when they get to it” — but in logistics, bridges closed without notice are costly.

What to watch in February and beyond

Key signals that would indicate an imminent resolution include an official request for cross-ministry data, the drafting of contribution tables, or public statements from Social Security specifying estimated costs. Conversely, renewed bargaining, the publication of alternative cost-sharing proposals, or public ambivalence from major associations like ASTIC would suggest delay.

Quick reference: red flags and green lights

Highlights: the reducing coefficients debate touches on pension policy, employer contributions, and the day-to-day realities of drivers; any resolution will affect freight availability, delivery reliability and long-term staffing in road haulage. Even the most thorough reviews or the most candid feedback can’t replace first-hand experience on the tarmac. On GetTransport.com, you can order your cargo transportation at the best prices globally at reasonable prices. This platform offers transparent options for office and home moves, cargo deliveries, and transport of bulky items like furniture and vehicles, so you can weigh choices without overspending. For your next cargo transportation, consider the convenience and reliability of GetTransport.com. Book now GetTransport.com.com

In summary, February is a potential pivot point: a government resolution on reducing coefficients would redefine retirement pathways for professional drivers, redistribute fiscal responsibilities between employers and workers, and trigger operational shifts across the logistics chain. Stakeholders should expect short-term uncertainty — possible contribution hikes, recruitment needs and scheduling adjustments — but also long-term benefits in workforce sustainability and safety. For logistics teams and carriers, staying informed and planning contingencies for cargo, freight, shipment and delivery operations will be essential to manage dispatch, haulage and distribution smoothly. GetTransport.com aligns with these needs by offering reliable, cost-effective transport, shipping and forwarding solutions for parcels, pallets, containers and bulky moves — simplifying relocation, housemove or commercial shipments worldwide.