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The Impact of Tax Changes on Air Cargo from China to the U.S.

The Impact of Tax Changes on Air Cargo from China to the U.S.

James Miller
por 
James Miller
5 minutos de leitura
Notícias
julho 08, 2025

Analyzing the aftermath of recent tax changes reveals significant shifts in air cargo shipments from China to the United States. This examination sheds light on the current logistics landscape influenced by these changes.

Fall in Air Cargo Volumes

Recent regulatory adjustments aimed at eliminating tax exemptions for low-value goods from China have triggered a notable decrease in air cargo shipments. Following the closure of the de minimis loophole, there has been a marked decline, with industry analysts and trade organizations reporting double-digit drops in shipments.

Specifically, shipments declined by 10.7% in May, compared to the same month the previous year, as reported by the International Air Transport Association (IATA). This trend reflects the repercussions of evolving U.S. trade policies, as noted by IATA’s director general.

New Tax Regime for Low-Value Shipments

Prior to May 2, shipments from China valued at under $800 enjoyed a tax exemption, which greatly benefitted e-commerce platforms. However, since the policy shift, these shipments are subjected to tariffs that initially soared as high as 145%, before stabilizing at around 30% after a temporary trade easing.

This abrupt change has left many e-commerce players reevaluating their shipping strategies. With lower cost options no longer available, the impact on shipments is significant, especially for those utilizing platforms such as Shein and Temu, which relied heavily on the previous exemption.

Shift to Alternative Markets

The fallout from these tariff changes has led many businesses to pivot their focus towards other lucrative markets. In May, low-value e-commerce shipments to the U.S. fell by 43% compared to the previous month. Conversely, shipments to Europe and Southeast Asia have seen a significant uptick, suggesting a strategic realignment in response to U.S. trade uncertainties.

Industry experts cite this adjustment as a logical move, given that companies were already anticipating the implications of the de minimis rule halt. As such, questions arise about whether these e-commerce players can regain their footing in the U.S. market under the new duty structure.

Moreover, the air cargo consultancy Rotate confirmed that platforms such as Shein and Temu are redirecting their energies towards Europe and Asia-Pacific regions, aiming to capitalize on export growth in these vibrant markets.

The Response from Airlines

As air cargo demand from Asia experiences a downturn, airlines are feeling the pinch, shifting their freighter aircraft away from trans-Pacific routes to areas with higher demand. The reduction in flights is palpable, as numerous carriers have reduced their schedules due to decreased booking volumes.

Analysts report that direct freighter capacity between China and the U.S. dropped by 11% in June compared to March, undoing much of the capacity growth achieved over the past year. This scenario indicates not only the immediate impact of the tariff changes but also hints at longer-term adjustments airlines will need to make.

For instance, Dimerco Express, an Asia-focused freight forwarder, disclosed a staggering 50% decrease in bookings for e-commerce from May through June, leading to frequent cancellations of scheduled freighter flights.

Implicações futuras para a logística

The long-standing de minimis rule, in place since 1938, allowed for a loophole that lawmakers criticized as an avenue for tax avoidance on shipments. However, its elimination has created a challenging landscape for logistics, particularly in relation to e-commerce. Moving forward, businesses are likely to invest more time and resources into strategic logistics planning.

This scenario serves as a wake-up call for logistics companies and freight forwarders to adapt quickly to shifting regulations and market dynamics. For movers and corporate clients, understanding these trends is crucial for effectively navigating the complex world of cargo transportation.

Analyzing the Broader Impact

While this decline in air cargo volumes might seem localized to specific companies, it represents a larger trend in logistics. As the global supply chain continues to face upheavals from shifting policies and economic pressures, logistics providers must remain vigilant.

Much like a ship navigating a changing tide, logistics companies are presented with an opportunity to innovate and adapt. The shrinking volumes of air cargo from Asia present challenges but also invite new strategies for routing and shipping that could redefine efficiencies in logistics.

Resumo

In conclusion, the recent changes in tax policies affecting air cargo from China to the U.S. are reshaping the logistics landscape considerably. The sharp dip in shipments illustrates how quickly market dynamics can shift due to regulatory changes. As businesses realign their strategies, platforms such as GetTransport.com stand ready to offer affordable and versatile cargo solutions, meeting the needs of both commercial and personal logistics. From moving bulky items like furniture to handling complex shipments, GetTransport.com simplifies the logistics process, providing efficiency at competitive prices. With their transparent approach and extensive choices, clients can navigate their logistics needs seamlessly.

The evolution of air cargo logistics highlights the need for adaptability and innovation, ensuring that logistics providers can meet increasingly diverse demands. Explore the conveniences and options that GetTransport.com has to offer as you plan your next delivery.